Izindaba Zamasonto Onke Izizathu Ezinhlanu Zokwenyuka Kwempahla Yasolwandle

Kusukela ekwindla ye 2020, izindleko zokuthumela bezilokhu zenyuka kakhulu, kodwa ezinyangeni ezimbalwa zokuqala zalo nyaka, amanani ezimpahla zomthamo owomile kanye namabhokisi emizileni emikhulu yohwebo abone ukwanda okusha. Uma kuqhathaniswa nonyaka odlule, amanani ezimpahla zemizila eminingana yokuhweba aphindeke kathathu, futhi amanani entengo yemikhumbi yamakhonteyna nawo abone ukunyuka okufanayo.

Cishe alukho uphawu lokukhululeka esikhathini esifushane, ngakho-ke amanani ezimpahla angase aqhubeke ekhuphuka engxenyeni yesibili yalo nyaka, ngoba ukukhula komthamo wemikhumbi kunqunyelwe, ukucekelwa phansi kwezithiyo zendawo kuyaqhubeka nokuba nomthelela emakethe, futhi isidingo esikhulayo somhlaba wonke asanele. Anelise. Ngisho noma umthamo omusha wengezwa, inkampani ye-liner izophatha imikhumbi ngenkuthalo, futhi izinga lempahla liyohlala lisezingeni eliphezulu kunangaphambi kwalolu bhubhane.

 

Nazi izizathu ezinhlanu zokuthi kungani izindleko zingeke zehle esikhathini esifushane.

 

1.Ukungalingani okuqhubekayo emhlabeni wonke kunyuse amanani entengo

Izinkinga eziye zanqwabelana kusukela ekuqaleni kwalolu bhubhane zihlanganisa: a. Ukungalingani ekukhiqizeni nasekudingeni impahla, b. Ukuvinjwa nokuvulwa kwamazwe ahlukahlukene ngezikhathi ezahlukene, c. Izinkampani zemikhumbi zinciphisa umthamo wemizila emikhulu, kanye d. Kuyashoda izitsha ezingenalutho. Ngokusimama komnotho kancane kancane, isidingo somhlaba wonke sesinamandla, ikakhulukazi embonini yemikhumbi, exhumene kakhulu nohwebo lwamazwe ngamazwe ngezimpahla. Ngokuqhubeka nokuvulwa kweminotho ehlukahlukene kanye nokwakhiwa kabusha kwe-inventory kuzo zonke izixhumanisi ze-supply chain., izidingo zomthamo womkhumbi ziphakeme nakakhulu.

2.Ngaphandle kokuthumela, zimbalwa ezinye izindlela

 

Ukuntuleka kwezinye izindlela zokuthutha ngemikhumbi kusho ukuthi okwamanje kunzima ukugwema ukukhuphuka kwezindleko zokuhamba. Ngemikhiqizo enenani eliphezulu, njengemikhiqizo kagesi, ezinye izindlela ezinjengomoya noma isitimela ngokuvamile zingakhethwa ezokuthutha, njengesitimela. Nokho, umthamo wamanje unomkhawulo, namazinga ezimpahla nawo anyuke kakhulu. Kwabathumeli bemikhiqizo enenani eliphansi njengempahla yasendlini, amathoyizi, izinto zokuphromotha, noma izikibha, ingxenye yezindleko zokuthumela ezindlekweni zokuthenga ikhuphukile isuka cishe 5% ukwedlula 20%, okusho futhi ukuthi abathengi bangase baqale ukuzwa intengo Umthelela wokukhuphuka noma izinguquko zokuhlinzekwa komkhiqizo.

 

3.Ukubuyiselwa okungalingani komhlaba wonke ku 2021

Izinga lokuthunyelwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe lidlule lelo ngaphambi kokugqashuka, ngenkathi kwamanye amazwe, njenge-United States, izinga lokuthunyelwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe lisalele ngemuva kwezinga lokukhiphayo lilonke. Ukuhwebelana ngezimpahla kuzokhula kakhulu, hhayi kuphela kula mazwe amakhulu okuhweba, kodwa amanye amazwe asebenzisana nawo kwezohwebo nawo azoqhubeka nokusimama.

Njengoba izidingo zomthamo wokuthumela zizoqhubeka nokuba khona, ukusimama okungenakulinganisela emhlabeni jikelele kuzoqhubeka nokwandisa ezinye zezinkinga zokuhwebelana komhlaba, na- “susiwe” iziqukathi ezingenalutho, okuzofaka ingcindezi enkulu emazingeni ezimpahla esikhathini esifushane.

 

4.Ukunciphisa uhambo olungenalutho kuzosiza ekwehliseni imikhawulo yamandla

Ngezinga lomhlaba wonke, umthamo wemizila emikhulu usubuyele ezingeni elingaphambi kwe 2020 ukuvinjelwa, nakuba uhambo lwemikhumbi olungenalutho kwikota yokuqala lunciphise umthamo ohleliwe ngo 10%. Kunezimpawu zokuba ngcono kule kota. Ngokohlelo lwamanje lwemikhumbi, inani lohambo lwemikhumbi olungenalutho 4%. Kodwa ukwesulwa kohambo ngokwezinga elithile kuyimpendulo ekubambezelekeni, futhi kuyaphoqeleka ukuthi kukhanselwe. Ngakho-ke, nakuba uhlelo lwezokuthutha lusaqinile, umthamo omncane usengancishiswa ngesikhathi esifushane ukuze ubhekane nokubambezeleka.

5.Ukuminyana kwechweba nokuvalwa kuyaqhubeka kubangela ukubambezeleka

 

Njengesixhumanisi phakathi kokukhanselwa kohambo kanye nokubambezeleka kohambo, ukuminyana kuyingxenye yenkinga. Ukusebenza kokuthumela ku 2021 kuqhuba isimo ku 2020. Ingxenye yemikhumbi ehamba njengoba bekuhleliwe yehlile, kanye nesikhathi sokulibaziseka esimaphakathi semikhumbi eshiywe yisikhathi sinyukile.

Kunezimpawu zokuthi ukusebenza kwemikhumbi kuzothuthuka, ngoba ingxenye yemikhumbi efika ngesikhathi ayizange yehle ngo-April, kanye nesikhathi sokulibaziseka esimaphakathi semikhumbi naso sesiqalile ukuba ngcono, kodwa ukusebenza kukonke kuseyizinga eliphansi kakhulu eminyakeni eyishumi.

Ngesikhathi esifanayo, umqedazwe usadala umonakalo. Ngokwesibonelo, ekuqaleni kukaJuni, i-Yantian Port, ichweba lesine ngobukhulu emhlabeni, kungazelelwe kuvaliwe. Yize ibhizinisi seliqalile futhi, ukuminyana kanye nezinyathelo zokuvimbela ubhubhane kusho ukuthi ukubambezeleka kuzokwanda. Nakuba inqubekelaphambili isiyenziwe ekugomeni eChina nakwamanye amazwe amakhulu okuhweba, kuzothatha isikhathi ukusungula ukugoma, ngakho-ke kunengozi yokuphazamiseka kwechweba ezinyangeni ezizayo.

Ukwenyuka okukhulu komthamo weziqukathi kuzodambisa ingcindezi yentengo, kodwa kuzofanele kube ngemuva 2023.

 

Phakathi nomqedazwe, inkampani izuze ukusebenza kahle kwezezimali. Ezinyangeni ezinhlanu zokuqala ze 2021, ama-oda okwakha amasha emikhumbi yamabhokisi afinyelele irekhodi 229, nomthamo wempahla ophelele we 2.2 million TEU. Lapho umthamo omusha ufinyelela 2023, lapho umthamo omusha usulungele ukusetshenziswa, kuzoletha a 6% ukwanda kwamandla, kodwa ukuhlakazwa kwemikhumbi emidala akulindelekile ukuthi kuqede lokhu kwanda.

Njengoba ukukhula komnotho womhlaba kungena esigabeni sokusimama, ukwanda okuzayo komthamo kuzobeka ingcindezi ephansi ezindlekweni zokuthutha, kodwa amanani ezimpahla angase angabuyeli emazingeni angaphambi kobhubhane, ngoba izinkampani zemikhumbi zibonakala zifunde ukuba ngcono emifelandawonye yazo Ukuphatha umthamo.

Sekukonke, esikhathini esifushane, ngenxa yokukhula okuqhubekayo kwesidingo kanye nemikhawulo efana nokuminyana kwechweba, amanani ezimpahla angase afinyelele amanani aphezulu amasha. Ngisho noma imikhawulo yamandla ingadalulwa, amanani ezimpahla angase ahlale ezingeni eliphezulu kunangaphambi kwalolu bhubhane.

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